The lowest temperature in the suburbs of Shanghai will fall below freezing point from Sunday. Today, the sky is cloudy and the rain is intermittent during the day. The temperature difference throughout the day is small, and the temperature in most areas is between 6~9℃. The highest temperature in Xujiahui Station in Shanghai during the day is only 7.9℃. The humidity is high, coupled with the northerly winds, and the wet and cold body feels doubled. Tomorrow is still a cold day. There are many cloud systems in Shanghai, mainly cloudy to cloudy, with weak precipitation and some short-term light rain in some areas. The wind is less than today, with northerly winds of 3-4 and coastal areas along the Yangtze River of 4-5. The temperature is between 6~11℃ and the relative humidity is 90%-60%. Affected by strong cold air, there was a strong wind and cooling process in Shanghai from 13th to 14th. At noon on the 13th (Friday), cold air began to affect Shanghai, and the temperature dropped. It is estimated that the minimum temperature will drop by 3 ~ 5 degrees in urban areas and 6 ~ 8 degrees in suburbs during the 48-hour period from 13th to 15th. The lowest temperature in most suburbs will be below freezing point from 15th to 18th. The lowest temperature of the process appeared on the morning of 15th and 16th, and the urban area dropped to about 3℃, while the suburbs of Chongming, Jinshan, Fengxian and Qingpu were-3℃ to-4℃, with thin ice or freezing. (Weather in Shanghai)Goldman Sachs: CPI clears the way for the Fed to cut interest rates next week. It is expected that the policy will be gradually relaxed in the future. Whitney Watson, an analyst at Goldman Sachs: Today's CPI data clears the way for next week's interest rate cut. After today's data is released, the Fed will start a "silent period", and they still have confidence in the process of anti-inflation. We believe that the Fed will further gradually relax monetary policy in the new year.The core inflation in the United States remained stable, increasing by 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month, and the CPI in the United States continued to rise in November, which aggravated people's concerns that the process of curbing inflation was stagnant. Data released on Wednesday showed that the core CPI excluding food and energy costs rose by 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month. Compared with a year ago, it has increased by 3.3%. After the data is released, it is still very likely that Fed policymakers will cut interest rates at next week's meeting. Although the price pressure has dropped from the peak during the pandemic recovery, the recent progress has stabilized. This, coupled with the fading concerns about the labor market, helps explain why several Fed officials advocate a more gradual rate cut.
This week, the personal pension expansion policy will be announced, "the time point may be December 12". It was learned from insiders that the personal pension expansion policy will be announced this week, "the time point may be December 12". According to industry insiders, the personal pension pilot will be fully liberalized in the near future, expanding from the original 36 pilot cities to the whole country. At the same time, personal pension fund products are also expanding, and some mature broad-based ETF-linked funds and broad-based index OTC products will add Y shares. (21 Finance)Russian central bank survey: the average key interest rate in 2024 is expected to be 17.5%, compared with the previous forecast of 17.3%. The average key interest rate in 2025 is expected to be 21.3%, compared with the previous forecast of 18%.Traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut in December.
Analyst Anstey: Today's CPI data will hardly change anyone's prospects. However, those who still think that the Fed will remain inactive next week may reconsider, because inflation is not worse than expected. This seems to give the green light to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on December 18th.The Italian neo-Nazi organization planned to assassinate the Prime Minister, which was foiled by the police. According to the British Daily Telegraph on the 11th, an Italian neo-Nazi organization was accused of planning to assassinate Prime Minister Giorgiya meloni and World Economic Forum President klaus schwab, and the assassination plot was foiled by the police. (World Wide Web)Lilly will study whether diet pills can effectively control addictive behaviors. Dave Ricks, CEO of Lilly, said that the company will start to study whether its best-selling diet pills can also effectively control addictive behaviors such as alcoholism, smoking and drug abuse. Ricks said at a meeting that these drugs are "anti-hedonic" and may temporarily make patients get rid of drug dependence. Some doctors have said that this drug can help alleviate drug addiction. Novo Nordisk also said earlier this year that it planned to conduct research on drug addiction.